Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 302.423263 342.597498 387.373580 441.207560 504.475962 576.837450 666.384453
2025-06-22 236.676469 287.487496 349.235561 430.677428 536.585065 671.489073 859.345242
2025-06-29 203.228186 258.402736 329.420125 429.208578 568.559249 760.526577 1052.760559
2025-07-06 173.961844 228.730071 302.290228 410.716514 570.695387 805.168328 1188.973460
2025-07-13 162.577201 220.696982 302.017814 427.620448 623.380161 928.961579 1468.541678
2025-07-20 153.945149 215.003073 303.628255 446.473205 680.720337 1068.886098 1806.734033
2025-07-27 142.726485 204.045414 295.794325 449.060276 711.535696 1169.649664 2099.557020
2025-08-03 130.142601 189.629588 280.880897 437.904875 716.796352 1225.625855 2319.387520
2025-08-10 119.959867 177.877614 268.789384 429.622046 725.284619 1288.131507 2567.727593
2025-08-17 115.204847 174.167295 269.118666 442.410401 773.709513 1436.151879 3045.163195
2025-08-24 108.309966 166.345441 261.782172 440.500030 793.559083 1529.585944 3422.937182
2025-08-31 101.259984 157.668412 252.145071 433.128393 801.267236 1598.211742 3759.537248
2025-09-07 95.993943 151.732264 246.985862 434.108173 827.399081 1716.007416 4277.972452
2025-09-14 89.554978 143.317226 236.736584 424.146052 829.046445 1777.892752 4663.106101
2025-09-21 84.967002 137.762506 231.134846 422.692048 849.030017 1888.719457 5243.106246
2025-09-28 78.569092 128.550642 218.040462 404.541367 828.445692 1892.113297 5475.248918
2025-10-05 77.177591 128.208869 221.488205 421.133737 891.530933 2131.662858 6640.657477
2025-10-12 76.048847 128.239956 225.612332 439.635818 962.576827 2413.069532 8129.516310
2025-10-19 73.169330 124.800193 222.647881 442.174510 993.982085 2587.338998 9291.238200
2025-10-26 69.073801 118.798455 214.118766 431.227278 988.549376 2647.122189 9983.547776
2025-11-02 65.578971 113.734786 207.119512 423.098263 989.544643 2728.539316 10835.443658
2025-11-09 64.356596 112.977280 208.861534 435.648866 1049.613600 3024.386315 13001.560461
2025-11-16 61.852637 109.549052 204.777474 433.774108 1068.553573 3183.427850 14554.848529